RIKILT is developing methods and models to acquire early insight into the incidence of risks in the animal feed and food production chain.
Identifying known and unknown risks
Risks may be recognisable because they also occur in other products, or they can be completely new. Predictive models are being developed to estimate, for example, the incidence of mycotoxins in grain early in the season – long before the harvest. There are also methods to assess the effects of diverse factors originating from the environment or the chain on the occurrence of risks. This information is useful for providing early insight into the incidence of risks and, if necessary, for stepping up targeted control.
Identifying risks when production methods are changed
Changes in food production methods can increase (or decrease) the incidence of certain risks in the chain. Take, for example, the use of alternative ingredients, such as new sources of protein, or different time-temperatures during processing. Or reorganisations in the food production chain (to accommodate, say, local products). Every time a change occurs, analyses need to be performed to determine whether it could increase the frequency of certain risks.