Training course Uncertainty & Variability

The objective of the Uncertainty and Variability (U&V) training course is:

  • To enable the understanding and practical implementation of best risk assessment practices amongst Panel/Scientific Committee members and EFSA scientific staff, in particular the horizontal aspect of addressing variability and uncertainty in risk assessment.
  • To strengthen the dissemination of guidance on addressing variability and uncertainty amongst Panel/Scientific Committee members and EFSA scientific staff, and promote and facilitate its uptake.
  • To make a link between the theory and practice by including practical sessions with examples of variability and uncertainty from the work of EFSA.

The training course builds on the earlier EFSA courses on this topic. It will be updated to take account of the new EFSA Guidance Document on uncertainty in risk assessment, which is expected to be published in Autumn 2015. The course consists of four sessions addressing the different elements that make up the training requirements, starting with basic concepts and moving gradually on to more advanced approaches. All 4 sessions offer a balanced mixture of lectures, group discussion and practical sessions.


Andy Hart

Andy Hart (FERA, UK) Main tutor and preparation of training material

Andy Hart is leader for Risk Science at FERA. He has over 31 years research on hazard, exposure and risk assessment, over 20 years focussing on dealing with variability and uncertainty in risk assessment. Andy Hart was member of EFSA PPR Panel (3 terms, 2003-2012) and numerous EFSA working groups including Working Groups on Transparency and Risk Terminology and development of the EFSA SC Guidance on Uncertainty in Exposure Assessment. Rapporteur of current EFSA SC WG on uncertainty, and member of WHO/IPCS WG on uncertainty in hazard characterisation. He has organised, developed and delivered training courses for risk assessors on probabilistic risk assessment, risk-benefit assessment and uncertainty analysis.

Peter Craig

Peter Craig (Durham University, UK). Alternative tutor and contribution to preparation of training material

Peter Craig is senior lecturer in Statistics at the University of Durham, UK. He has 30 years of experience as researcher in statistical methodology and applications, with particular emphasis on the Bayesian viewpoint. 27 years of experience as lecturer and tutor in statistics, teaching introductory courses for science students and courses on principles, mathematics, computation and applications to mathematics students. Since 2004, significant focus on risk assessment, in particular ecotoxicology, human dietary exposure to pesticides, and methods for addressing uncertainty. Peter Craig was member of 5 EFSA working groups since 2004, currently he is member of the PPR panel working group on risk assessment for non-target arthropods and the Scientific Committee working group developing guidance on uncertainty in exposure assessment.