Workshop Uncertainty Analysis of the Benchmarking Atlas

Speakers:

Jeroen van der Sluijs (Universiteit Utrecht)

Peter Janssen (Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving)

George van Voorn & Iwan Supit

The aim of the IP/OP-theme “Sustainable and Smart Food Supply” (BASIS) is to develop, apply and exploit methods to reveal opportunities for sustainable intensification of agricultural production in order to realize a 70% increase by 2050. A Benchmarking Atlas will be developed to inform stakeholders of these opportunities. However, there are many sources of uncertainty surrounding current and future estimates of actual yields and yield potentials, which is relevant information that needs to be taken into account when developing the Benchmarking Atlas.

This workshop is a kick-off meeting in which 1/ an inventory of the sources of uncertainty is made, and 2/ ideas how to quantify them are formulated and 3/ how to communicate the results to future Benchmarking Atlas users.

The program is as follows:

10.00-10.15 Opening, introduction of the subject of the workshop

10.15-10.45 Presentation by Jeroen v.d. Sluijs about qualitative uncertainty assessments

10.45-11.15 Presentation by Peter Janssen about uncertainties in policy evaluations

11.15-11.30 Break

11.30-12.15 Brainstorm session with regard to the 3 formulated goals

12.15-12.30 Formulating conclusions and program closure

We would kindly like to invite people within the IP/OP-theme “Sustainable and Smart Food Supply” (BASIS) and other interested people to participate in this workshop.

If you wish to participate, or for more information, please write an e-mail to George.vanVoorn@wur.nl before April 5th, 2013.