iCLUE - projecting land use into the future

There is a growing demand for accessible and practical land use change models to predict and understand the transformations of the environment. The iCLUE model fulfills this need by offering valuable insights into future land use dynamics.

The iCLUE simulation model allocates land use based on future areal land use demands. Currently the allocation of land use classes is based on a stepwise regression method, while other algorithms, like Bayesian Belief ruling, are explored. Allocation takes place based on the following components:

  • Land use suitability (e.g. no agriculture on steep slopes with dry unfertile soils);
  • Conversion rules (e.g. ‘urban cannot change into pasture’, or ‘new production forest can only be harvested after 20 years and turned into fallow land’);
  • Neighboring land use (e.g. built-up area is likely to expand next to existing built-up area) and
  • Future areal demand for specific land use types (e.g. 250 hectares of agriculture in study area in 2030).
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iCLUE Documentation

iCLUE Projects