Project

Future of European horticulture

The development of an empirically validated supply and demand model for European horticulture, in particular Dutch (greenhouse) horticulture. The purpose of the proposal is to develop a model which is able to calculate changes in production, trade and pricing as a function of changes in such exogenous variables as energy and
climate policies and retail concentration.
This project focuses on the impact of climate and energy polices on the European fruit and vegetables supply chain. Society and public policies set ever more stringent targets with respect to the consumption and production of energy in greenhouse horticulture as well as other sectors. For this reason, a wide variety of new policy instruments are being developed and combined (taxation, subsidies, emission trade including CO2 settlement schemes). These policies may have major implications for pricing on input and output markets in the fresh produce supply chain and, as a result,
may lead to changes in production and trade patterns. The impact of energy and climate policies on input and output prices in the fresh produce supply chain will be analyzed by modeling vertically and horizontally related (spatial) markets.