AMAZALERT enables raising the alert about critical feedbacks between climate, society, land-use change, vegetation change, water availability and policies in Amazonia.
AMAZALERT examines how global and regional climate and land-use changes will impact Amazonian forests, agriculture, waters, and people; and how these impacts feed back onto climate.
This programme will:
- analyze and improve coupled models of global climate and Amazon, land use, vegetation and socio-economic drivers to quantify anthropogenic and climate induced land-use and land cover change and non-linear, irreversible feedbacks among these components;
- assess the role of regional and global policies and societal responses in the Amazon region for altering the trajectory of land-use change in the face of climate change and other anthropogenic factors and finally;
- propose 1) an Early Warning System for detecting any imminent irreversible loss of Amazon ecosystem services, 2) policy response strategies to prevent such loss.
AMAZALERT integrates the multidisciplinary knowledge and research of world-renowned, highly influential climate, land cover, land use change scientists and also policy analysts from 14 European and South-American institutions that have been collaborating for 10 to 30 years. Thus, this project can achieve maximum impact on EU (2020 climate goals), international and South-American strategies, including REDD.
- Identify the ecosystem services most important to stakeholders in the Amazon Basin and beyond.
- Integrate modelling of the interactions between societal and natural contributors to land use and cover.
- Significantly improve modelling and understanding of the complex interactions between natural systems, as well as understanding of impacts on these systems caused by socio-economic forces, including policies and programs.
- Respond to the urgent need, expressed by the international community, to develop a tool to warn of imminent, irreversible loss of ecosystem services.