Publicaties

Model for Nature Policy - MNP : Automatisering validatie, automatisering draagkrachten, rekenmethode van de randvoorwaarden binnen MNP, gevoeligheids- en onzekerheidsanalyse

Wamelink, Wieger; Biersteker, Levi; Roelofsen, Hans; Jochem, Rene; van der Greft, Janien; de Knegt, Bart; Henkens, René

Samenvatting

Model for Nature Policy – MNP: Automation of validation, automation of carrying capacities, calculation method for the boundary conditions within MNP and sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. The Model for Nature Policy (MNP, MetaNatuurPlanner) is used by the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL) and others for model simulations to estimate long-term persistence of species and the conservation status of plant and animal species in the Netherlands. The calculated indicator is considered to be a proxy for the degree of achievement of the objectives of the Birds and Habitats Directives. The model is used for calculating a number of Environmental Data Compendium (CLO) indicators and is routinely used for the Assessment of the Dutch Living Environment and the National Nature Outlook. The MNP is therefore constantly being further developed to keep up with new questions from policymakers and scientific requirements. This report describes four technical developments: automation of validation, automation of carrying capacities, calculation method for the abiotic boundary conditions within the MNP and the uncertainty and sensitivity analysis.